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A
key question here is what is the expected rela- tionship between vaccine
use and the evolution of pathogen virulence? Examples of evolution
of virulence include the prevalence of non-toxigenic diphtheria in
highly vaccinated populations and the classical example of myoxma
virus/rabbit studies of Australia. To date, most work on the evolutionary
effects of vaccination has focused on escape mutants, but recently
there has also been some influential work done of virulence evolution
as well. Important questions we will address are: (1) how do different
vaccination strategies affect the expected virulence of a pathogen?
and (2) how are these evolutionary changes related to the appearance
and spread of escape mutants? Escape mutants are also a consequence
of the high mutation rates found among most viruses which make of
them a moving target from the immunological point of view. This phenomenon
can be seen as one of the facets of virulence with important implications
to vaccine development and use. For example, one of the recognized
difficulties in developing an HIV vaccine is attributed to the virus
diversity within and among individuals and countries. Besides, new
influenza vaccines need to be developed each new season to cope with
the virus ever changing composition. Another facet of virulence manifests
as adverse events caused by live attenuated virus vaccines. Morbidity
associated to vaccinal viruses is well described for polio and yellow
fever. |
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